First weekFrame the exposure.
We lock the exposure, scope, evidence boundary and decision context, then open the source base.
Shield Brief
Single-Exposure Assessment
A cited evidence dossier on one threat, rule change, distributor issue or customer dependency.
Fixed Fee, Money-Back.No surprise invoices. Our work earns its fee, or we refund it.
Every Claim Cited.Public-source evidence behind every claim.
Models You Keep.Advanced analytical frameworks, yours to re-run and audit.
Adversarial Review.Every verdict challenged and verified before delivery.
The decision
What is true about this specific market exposure?
Use this when one signal has become difficult to ignore but its scale, mechanism and commercial relevance are still uncertain.
What we need from you
- Exposure or trigger
- Markets, products or routes that may be affected
- Known customer or supplier dependencies
- Existing internal analysis
- Decision deadline
What you keep
Outputs built to travel beyond the project.
The recommendation is delivered with the evidence, assumptions and decision logic needed for leadership review.
01
Exposure brief
The mechanism, affected revenue or operations and the most important unknowns.
02
Evidence dossier
The primary and authoritative secondary sources behind the assessment.
03
Assumptions register
A clear separation between facts, inferences and information gaps.
04
Next-decision note
Whether the issue warrants ranking, a response decision, response planning or continued observation.
How the answer is built
A method fitted to the shape of the decision.
The Signal Method defines the exposure, gathers cited secondary evidence, separates facts from assumptions and pressure-tests the signal through adversarial review.
Every material conclusion is cited. A separate adversarial pass challenges weak claims and untested assumptions before human sign-off.
Read the full methodologyHow the work runs
Two weeks. Three beats.
Final weekBuild the dossier.
Evidence is gathered, cited, separated from assumptions and pressure-tested before the brief is assembled.
DeliveryLand the next decision.
You receive the executive brief, evidence dossier, assumptions register and a clear view of what should happen next.
Good fit when
- A regulatory or certification change
- A distributor or customer concentration concern
- Testing whether a signal is material
Not designed for
- Comparing several unrelated threats
- Selecting a final response
- Primary interviews or legal interpretation
Commercial clarity
From £900. Two weeks.
The scope, fee, evidence boundary and exclusions are agreed before work starts. Fixed-fee project engagements are covered by the three-month money-back guarantee under the signed terms.
Shield bundle
From £12,000. Save £4,500.
Includes Exposure Ranking, Response Decision and Response Plan.
Use it when the issue is urgent and you need one route from interpretation and exposure tracing to a controlled response plan.
One intake and one current evidence base connect the ranking, decision, remediation and maintenance design.
Discuss the Shield bundleQuestions before you commission
Clear boundaries produce better work.
We confirm the commercial question, scope, evidence boundary, inputs, timetable, fee and exclusions in writing. Work begins only after the engagement terms are agreed.
No. This engagement uses deeply triangulated secondary research. If the decision needs primary research, we identify that gap rather than presenting an inference as evidence.
Whenever a model, assumptions register or working file is part of the output, we hand it over with the controls needed to revisit the answer.
No. We surface relevant commercial and regulatory evidence, but specialist advice remains outside scope and should be obtained where the decision requires it.
Next step
Start a conversation.
Bring us a market question the leadership team cannot yet answer. We will tell you whether it fits a defined product, what evidence it needs, and what the fixed fee would be. If it does not fit, we will say so.